LostCosmonaut Posted September 7, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 7, 2017 Jose is now a major and is forecast to move very near the Northern Leeward Islands as a category 3. Some of the long range projections have it doing an a loop and hitting Florida in about 9-10 days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronezhilet Posted September 8, 2017 Report Share Posted September 8, 2017 Results of Irma on the Dutch Antilles: Video (Dutch): https://www.rovid.nl/def/km/2017/def-km-20170908-id93semla-web-hd.mp4 LostCosmonaut 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belesarius Posted September 8, 2017 Report Share Posted September 8, 2017 http://www.houstonchronicle.com/local/gray-matters/article/I-downloaded-an-app-And-suddenly-I-was-talking-12172506.php Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 9, 2017 Future thread title: No Way Jose Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belesarius Posted September 9, 2017 Report Share Posted September 9, 2017 40 minutes ago, LostCosmonaut said: Future thread title: No Way Jose FFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 9, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 9, 2017 UKMET ensembles also showing support for the loop; Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donward Posted September 9, 2017 Report Share Posted September 9, 2017 Curious. It seems to me like the prevailing weather patterns have it wandering off towards Mexico. *Shrug* What do I know? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ulric Posted September 10, 2017 Report Share Posted September 10, 2017 T___A and Belesarius 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donward Posted September 10, 2017 Report Share Posted September 10, 2017 Well shoot. I was hoping Irma would continue trucking west before dog-legging north. Not to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 Now, in a horrible bit of luck, the islands are looking at a hit from another major hurricane. I imagine they haven't got much cleanup done from the last one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 NHC breaking out the F word The intensity forecast, which is at or above the upper edge of the guidance, now calls for Maria to reach a peak intensity of 135 kt in about 24 h, and it is possible that the hurricane could reach category 5 status. (fwiw, raw satellite estimates are already well above the cat 5 threshold) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 18, 2017 At 5 pm AST, Maria was at 950 millibars (per NHC) At 7:32, recon found an extrapolated surface pressure of 925.9 millibars. It's deepening at nearly 10 millibars an hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donward Posted September 19, 2017 Report Share Posted September 19, 2017 Meanwhile it finally rained here in the Pacific Northwest. http://www.seattleweatherblog.com/rain-stats/rainfall-2017/ And we got snow in the Cascades. http://mynorthwest.com/755697/quick-turn-around-after-months-of-dry-weather-snow-fall-reported-in-cascades/ Which is finally knocking down all the smoke from the forest fires in the region. The prayers sent to us from across the country have been answered. God bless. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belesarius Posted September 19, 2017 Report Share Posted September 19, 2017 RIP Dominica. https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/category-5-hurricane-maria-hits-dominica Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 19, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 19, 2017 Meanwhile in Wildwood; The beaches in Jersey are gonna be trashed even before Noreaster season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Donward Posted September 19, 2017 Report Share Posted September 19, 2017 We warned them about allowing Chris Christie to swim in the ocean at the beach. But no one listened! You FOOLS! Scolopax and LostCosmonaut 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 19, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 19, 2017 Irma: I'm the most intense hurricane of 2017 Maria: Hold my beer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sgt.Squarehead Posted September 20, 2017 Report Share Posted September 20, 2017 TBH only two things have surprised me about these hurricanes: 1 - Nobody has tried to blame Russia. 2 - ISIS have not claimed responsibility. Donward 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoooSeR Posted September 20, 2017 Report Share Posted September 20, 2017 10 hours ago, Sgt.Squarehead said: TBH only two things have surprised me about these hurricanes: 1 - Nobody has tried to blame Russia. 2 - ISIS have not claimed responsibility. ISIS already claimed that this is Allakh rage against US or something along those lines. And they need to look better at skies to see who is guilty Sgt.Squarehead 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 22, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 22, 2017 Washington Post living up to its usual standard of journalism; https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/09/22/category-5-hurricanes-have-hit-6-land-areas-dead-on-in-2017-more-than-ever-before/?utm_term=.7173727351d9 6/24 is a small as hell sample size, and counting each of the Leeward Islands that Irma smashed into separately artificially inflates the count (by their logic, Irma hitting 5 islands would be a bigger deal than separate Cat 5s making single landfalls on Mexico, Texas, Alabama, and Florida). Second, measuring only category 5 landfalls is stupid; Katrina made landfall as a 3 (albeit one with a very low pressure and pushing a Cat 5 surge), Isabel made landfall as a 2, Wilma was a 4 at landfall in Mexico, etc. I also like the one sentence mention of undersampling in the past. (standard disclaimer that I believe global warming climate change is real, but if you're going to use tropical cyclones in your argument at least use long term ACE trends or something vaguely relevant). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted September 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2017 Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential (TCHP) in October 2005, when the most intense (by pressure) storm in the history of the North Atlantic formed over the Western Carribean. TCHP now (note Western Carribean) Belesarius 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oedipus Wreckx-n-Effect Posted September 25, 2017 Report Share Posted September 25, 2017 Montana was on fire for a bit, then it got 18 inches of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Belesarius Posted September 27, 2017 Report Share Posted September 27, 2017 https://www.theweathernetwork.com/news/articles/record-heat-causes-spike-in-great-lakes-water-temperature/86724/7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collimatrix Posted October 1, 2017 Report Share Posted October 1, 2017 Are there any guides for what sort of structural concessions are needed to keep a house from getting clobbered by hurricanes of the sort of intensity of the ones from this season? I'm curious how much it would cost, and especially how much it would cost vs. the amount of money on hand in the areas that were affected. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LostCosmonaut Posted October 3, 2017 Author Report Share Posted October 3, 2017 Catholic groups are pulling out of investments in fossil fuels due to concerns about climate change; https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/03/global-warming-catholic-groups-stop-investing-in-fossil-fuels.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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