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Saudi Arabia to begin operations in Yemen

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   Video of parade being attacked. Too early to have parades when you didn't defeated your enemy that have weapons to reach your parade, i guess.

 

 

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   Saw some reports of Saudi Arabia airstrike in Aden to show force to "Southerners".

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   The forces of the Southern Transitional Council, supported by the United Arab Emirates, on Saturday after several days of fighting captured three bases from Saudi-backed supporters of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi in the port of Aden, Yemen.

/.../

   At night, the Saudis launched airstrikes in Aden. No one was hurt, they became a warning to the Southern Transitional Council. Saudi Arvia threatened with real attacks on the southerners if they did not leave the territories captured in the city. KSA Deputy Minister of Defense announced full support for Hadi. The Transitional Council proposed negotiations, but refused to leave the occupied areas in order to prevent the “Islam terrorists” from returning to the city.

 

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So now it's Houthis vs. Hadi + KSA + Sudan etc. vs. Southern separatists + UAE vs. AQAP vs. IS. Each one fo them fighting every other. That's a definition of mess. 

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Thinking optimistically, if the UAE-backed Southerners win out in Aden, they might not have any motive to keep fighting the Houthis in the north. Aden and Sanaa could come to terms and split again into two seperate states (which has been the de facto status for a while and the norm for most of history). I don't know if the Saudis might still try to hang on to slivers of the Red Sea coast and Marib, but with Aden gone, they gotta see the writing on the wall and withdrawal (and hopefully stop aiding AQAP elements). Then the focus could turn towards the more noble goal of turning jihadists into inanimate meat. 

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   Yemeni Houthis claim that their kamikaze UAVs attacked Aramco's Saudi oil refinery near the city of Sheyba, on the border with the UAE.

   The distance from the plant to the nearest Hussite territory is 1300 km. According to the speaker of the allied Hussites of the army of Yemen, 10 drones participated in the attack. If the information is correct, then this is the most massive drone attack since the beginning of the Yemeni war.

vva9iXh.jpg

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It looks like Houthis managed to down another MQ-9 Reaper. There is photo of the wreckage if you open the twitter post. 

 

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Moments Emirates Airforces targeting the national army forces in Aden, Yemen

   UAE bombing forces that took Aden, lol.

 

In total, about 10 airstrikes were done, the number of victims according to Aden News - 300 killed and wounded

 

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Coalition forces target Hadi forces between Aden and Abyan

 

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Formally, the UAE came to Yemen to support those Hadists (a legitimate government). But since the beginning of August, their puppets from the southern separatists have been fighting with "government forces" in southern Yemen.

 

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https://imp-navigator.livejournal.com/853454.html

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   The Armed Forces of the Yemeni government of the Ansar Allah movement (the Hothis) issued an official statement regarding the successful attack of their unmanned aerial vehicles at the oil facilities of Saudi Arabia in the area of the Abqaiq and Hurais fields. It is stated that a total of 10 drones were involved in the operation and the Houthis promised that their new operations would be even more painful for Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia itself confirms the fact of drones and fires at these sites, while details have not yet been announced.
   In general, Saudi air defense continues to miss missions from a relatively small number of kamikaze drones or cruise missiles at important infrastructure facilities. In this regard, Iran’s bet on cruise missiles and UAVs as the main means of deterrence seems fully justified and their combat tests with the help of the Houthis can also be called successful.
   In the video, there is a burning oil stabilization and associated gas liquefaction plant near the Abqaiq field, which Saudi Aramco calls the world's largest company of its kind and is one of the critical objects of the oil industry. Crude oil from a number of the largest Saudi fields is sent there for stabilization and other initial preparations for transportation and refining; the plant’s capacity is 7 million barrels per day, that is, about 2/3 of the current Saudi oil production can pass through it.

 

 

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   Parts of one of Houthi's Quds cruise missiles that didn't reached target. 

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   Yuri Lyamin:

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   Bloomberg, citing its source, writes that as a result of the Houthi UAV attack on the Saudi oil industry, oil production in Saudi Arabia collapsed by 5 million barrels per day, that is, by half of their total.

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   The Quds cruise missile was first shown in July by the Houthis in Yemen. I assume that this is a previously unknown simplified version of the Iranian cruise missiles for assembly in Yemen, so the missile has a unfoldable wing, etc.

 

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   Well, a direct conflict for the Saudis will have bad consequences, given that, as today's events have shown, they can’t even really cover their most important objects from an attack of a dozen UAV/CMs. As for the indirect hits, the Saudi-sponsored terrorist groups in Iran in recent years have tried repeatedly to bomb the Iranian oil infrastructure, but without much major success. Over the years, there have been separate explosions and fires in Iran at the Iranian oil pipelines and refineries, but even if some of them were caused by sabotage, they did not seriously disrupt the work of the Iranian oil industry. The true option is possible, that the Saudis can select and strike, for example, bases of the Iraqi militia.

 

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   Russians were behind this, i tell you

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   The ruble rose sharply against the dollar and the euro on Monday morning amid rising oil prices. Russian financial markets are also growing. But analysts warn that the effect will be only temporary.
/.../
   The main reason for the growth of the ruble and the Russian market was oil prices, which also rose sharply. November futures for the purchase of Brent crude oil cost $ 65.16 - over the past day, oil has risen in price by 8.2%.

 

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   The main reason is the drone attack on oil facilities in Saudi Arabia.

   As a result of the attack, Saudi Arabia reduced oil production by 5.7 million barrels per day - this is about 5% of the global oil supply. Reuters sources said that the issue of full recovery of production may take weeks, but part of the production will be restored in the coming days.

   Russian markets show growth against the backdrop of negative dynamics in other markets, according to Nordea. For example, the Hong Kong Exchange Index fell by almost 1%, and gold is also getting more expensive - usually they start buying it during periods of instability.

 

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   Abqaiq oil refinery.

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   Impacts from CMs are on Western side, BTW.

 

   Khurais. This one could be object attacked by drones.

Spoiler

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   Yuri Lyamin:

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   The Americans uploaded satellite images from Digital Globe with the consequences of the attacks announced by the Hothis. In the first two pictures you see Saudi oil stabilization plant in Abkayk, in the next three pictures in the Khurais field. In general, it can be noted that the accuracy of hits is excellent. Well, these holes in the tanks seem to be clearly not UAVs, but caused by cruise missiles.
   BBC producer Riam Dalati writes that according to a source familiar with the situation there was a combined strike of two dozen UAV-kamikaze and cruise missiles. At the same time, the United States and Saudi Arabia, although they believe that the Iranians inflicted it from the territory of Iraq, can’t precisely prove where they launched attack from, since none of the missiles and UAVs were detected by air defense systems until the time of the strikes.
   In general, all this looks like a so-called “unofficial” warning from Iran that if someone decides to start a war against it, the oil infrastructure of the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf will burn with blue flame.

 

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   September 16. / TASS /. Foreign experts should avoid visiting the attacked oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, as they could be the target of new attacks at any time. This was stated on Monday by the official representative of the armed forces of the Yemeni rebel movement "Ansar Allah" (Houthis) Brigadier General Yahya Saria.

 

   “I want to warn companies and foreigners that they should not be present at enterprises that have been hit by the attacks, because they are still under our guns and may become targets of attack at any time,” Al Massira television channel reports. “To Saudi regime we want to say: our long arm will be able to reach every place we want, and at any time that we determine, so you should stop the aggression and blockade of Yemen."

/.../

 

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   It is obvious that Iran was behind this attack as it supplied cruise missiles and was involved in planning and execution of operation (and not the first time), but i am not sure why they need to proove that it came from Iran or Iraq so much, probably for political reasons to be able to do things in Iraq with some sort of publicly stated reasons. Those are not the first oil-related structures that Houthis bombed with drones/cruise missiles, BTW. 

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