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Beer

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Everything posted by Beer

  1. Beer
    Crowdfunding campaign is runing in several countries including ours. The difference is only in that it's not being addressed for particular weapon systems but Ukrainean embasy uses the money to buy whatever weapons it needs (mostly from local producers). I don't know how much money was collected here to this day because there are several parallel channels but 6 weeks ago it was over 30 million USD for weapons and roughly twice more for humanitarian aid.
  2. Beer
    There is a similar project ongoing here in Czechia with a name STRATOM. The aim is to have two semi-stationary baloons at an altitude of 25 km from where they can cover the whole country by electro-optical means. The horizont is at 570 km distance from that altitude which means that one such platform when used as communication relay can cover over 1000 km which is twice the size of Czechia. The baloon is said to be 32x12 meters large, 100 kg heavy with its own electric propulsion (using solar panels). The payload is modular. Part of the system is a software named MODES which shall be used for automatic search and tracking of various objects using machine learning. MOD signed a fixed contract in February this year but some development has been ongoing for several years. The price stated in the contract is less than 4 million Euro.
  3. Beer
    Which means a total dependency on the goodwill of China plus paying a lot more for the same thing with neither guaranteed delivery volumes, nor dates. Also the volume of resources China needs is finite. China won't buy more of anything than it needs and certainly not for the same price. China is not some sort of cash machine into which you throw whatever amount of resources and get payed for that. You can exchange resources for other goods only for not getting the hard cash you would otherwise get. Since the Russian state budget is from about one half financed by oil and gas revenues, trading the resources for goods means loosing another part of money running the state. Take into account that EU has been importing twice more oil from Russia than China and 12x more gas (!) and that this source of cash is going to be stopped, i.e. the largest singular contributor of the state budget of the RF is going to vanish. In the near future Russia would need to seek every possible source of hard cash and prioritize it above goods exchange.
  4. Beer
    I'd add another point related to China because not everything caused by this war benefits China. It's true that the more dependent on China Russia is, the cheaper resources China can get etc. On the other hand by starting this war Russia caused a headache to China by removing the option of ground trade route China - EU. EU is by far the largest trade partner of China but its trade routes are essentially controlled by US NAVY. In case of war between China and US the US is effectively able to starve Chinese economy by blocking its overseas trade. For that reason (and for possible switch of its trade from Dollar to Juan) China needs an alternative trade route which can not be controlled by US but that option basically disappeared when Russia attacked Ukraine.
  5. Beer
    Are you sure the Caesars in Ukraine are equipped with the muzzle radar? Also the 40 km maximum range applies for base-bleed projectile, not the common NATO HE. Are you sure that Ukraine was supplied with base-bleed ammunition or even SPACIDO kits? Yes, I know that the standard HE disperion looks like an elipse. I think the values stated in STANAG 4635 gives the longitudinal axis of the elipse.
  6. Beer
    Except there is no Javelin on the photo but APILAS and SMAW-D. Both of those have been used in Syria for years. The whole thing is most likely stagged for propaganda purpose.
  7. Beer
    That's not true. The dispersion of fire is a function of range through the whole range, mainly because of the time the projectile flies (it is affected by wind through the whole flight). Per STANAG 4635 the standard CEP50 for unguided HE projectile is 0,56% at 10 km (56 meters); 0,65% of range at 20 km (130 meters); 0,86% of range at 30 km (258 meters) and 1,15% of range at 40 km (460 meters).
  8. Beer
    Looks like a gun and mantlet from some would-be Panther
  9. Beer
    When you don't use guided ammo the hit probability at ranges over 20 km is getting drastically reduced. When you need to fire just a few rounds and quickly disappear you have to do it from closer ranges to have a chance to actually destroy the target. For longer ranges guided ammo or a long sustained fire is needed which means that the long range guns bring real advantage only when used with guided rounds, without them not that much.
  10. Beer
    T-84 Oplot obr. 1999. Allegedly only five are operational in the whole Ukraine.
  11. Beer
    The point is that even transition even to very similar alternative chips is very time consuming and very costly. Using some Chinese chips instead of US ones is much easier said than done. First the Chinese must produce something similar. After that they must be villing to sell that. They also must have production capacities for that. And last but not least there is huge programming, testing, validation etc. work to be done before the product is ready for production with new chips. It's an endeavour for years... and in the very last Russian must have money to pay that.
  12. Beer
    Yes, I worked for many years in automotive and I am well avare of the fact that basically all manufacturers all over the world use the very same components (there are many reasons for that). With civil aviation it's even much more stuff. The moment Putin decided to attack Ukraine he also signed a death sentence to the MS-21. The program cost billions but now the plane can be directly placed in Zhukovsky museum.
  13. Beer
    IMHO no. To strike vertically the missile would need to climb very very high above the target to be able to turn to vertical which would at least drastically reduced its range and most likely lead to loosing the target from the seeker FOV.
  14. Beer
  15. Beer
    Unofficially our infamous tender was also won by the CV-90 Mk. IV. Let's see if Slovak polititians actually buy them or piss themselves like our previous government (we will probably buy them later anyway but for much higher price than according to the original offer).
  16. Beer
    That's completely wrong, sorry.
  17. Beer
    This article contains information about the amount of western-made chips in four particular Russian weapon systems. Ka-52 electro-optical turret - 22 US-made ones, 1 South Korean one (Texas Instruments, IDT, Altera USA, Burr-Brown, Analog Devices Inc., Micron Technology, Linear Technology and TE Connectivity) Kh-101 ALCM - 35 US-made chips (Texas Instruments, Atmel Corp. Rochester Electronics, Cypress Semiconductor, Maxim Integrated, XILINX, Infineon Technologies, Intel, Onsemi, and Micron Technology) Barnaul-T - 8 US-made chips (Intel, Micrel, Micron Technology and Atmel Corp) Pantsir S1 - 5 US-made chips (AMD, Rochester Electronics, Texas Instruments, and Linear Technology) We can safely bet that basically everything bar simple infantry weapons contains western electronics which can not be replaced in short term.
  18. Beer
    500 HIMARS is more than what was produced overal till today and a lot more than what even US army has. I guess the number will be drastically reduced.
  19. Beer
    Ehm, no. Very large part of these tanks lost by 1st GTA was captured undamaged. Using them to count the casualty rate is nonsense.
  20. Beer
    Today our MOD released an official statement about the deal. You can find it here in Czech. In short it differs from the previously posted rumors only in details. The deal shall be signed this summer. - 14 Leopard 2A4 + 1 Buffel for free, to be deliverd in half a year, to be modernized to 2A7+ level later - up to 50 new Leopard 2A7+ (including specialized variants) on commercial contract, to be delivered "shortly afterwards" All tanks to be ordered in cooperation with German MOD under the same or very similar conditions (including price) with Czech industry involvement in deliveries of both Czech and German tanks (new production line?). Details of that are not available atm. The MOD also commented on the option to buy Abrams. They said they were interested but the US offered a delivery date only after 2030.
  21. Beer
    There is something leaking about the Czech-German deal I mentioned in another thread. Nothing official so take it with a grain of salt. The deal is said to consist of - 20 Leopard 2A4 for free - 40 Leopard 2A7+ on commercial contract - some recovery and engineering vehicles The Leo 2A4 shall be used for initial transition period and training before the newly built 2A7+ arrive. After that the A4 will be probably modernized. If it goes through it may also affect the already started project for another upgrade of our 30 T-72M4 tanks which shall consist mainly of a new FCS and optics (it is still in quotation phase).
  22. Beer
    Ukraine released alleged leaked documents from Russian 1st guards tank army concerning unit losses as of 15th March. The documents seems to be legit. https://gur.gov.ua/content/do-seredyny-bereznia-zdalysia-v-polon-blyzko-sta-rosiiskykh-tankistiv.html It shows rather low number of casualties in comparison with absolutely stunning vehicle losses. I remember the 1st GTA lost huge number of vehicles in its initial push just being stuck in mud or running out of fuel which is confirmed by the document. Anyway the total number of casualties after 3 weeks of fighting was 61 KIA, 209 WIA, 44 MIA, 96 POW. Altogether 410. The number of lost tanks per unit during the same period. Overal it's 125 tanks. 1st tank regiment, 2nd motorrifle division: 45 T-72B3 obr.2016 (of 93!) 12th tank regiment, 4th guards tank division: 18 T-80U 13th tank regiment, 4th guards tank division: 47 T-80UE (of 83!) 423rd motorrifle regiment, 4th guards tank division: 6 T-80BV 27th motorized rifle brigade: 9 T-90A This status is from just days before another defeat in the battle of Trostianec which caused another large losses followed by retreat from the whole Sumy and Chernigiv regions. Also if we go by the number of T-80U/UE tanks from this time period showed on Oryx's blog we can see that the actual number of losses is even higher than listed by him.
  23. Beer
    The vehicle is Patriot II from Excalibur Army using Tatra chassis. Here you can find more about the vehicle. https://patriot.excaliburarmy.cz/ EDIT: I can see that it's also bing advertised as Husar made by Polish Stalowa Wola. Anyway it's the same vehicle probably developed in joint venture.
  24. Beer
    I think that this is Rosgvardiya helicopter, not VKS.
  25. Beer
    Slovenia, not Slovakia.
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