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Nagorno Karabakh conflict


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Davit Bek is in Armenia proper, just across the border from Qubadli which is most likely under control of Azeris. 

 

In the area Azeris using a lot of white phosporus against units in the forests. 

 

Azeris captured the gold mines of Vejnali.

 

Wargonzo captured one successfull AD engagement. 

 

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Short summary of that analysis.      Azerbaijan army conducting attack of Nagorniy Karabakh from 2 directions - Southern and Northern. Main attack is happening against city of Martakert (Nor

Massive fighting started along most of the Nagorno Karabakh border. The situation looks very serious as both Nagorno Karabakh and Armenia declared martial law and started general mobilisation.   

3rd pic show wheel that Mi-8s doesn't have. According to what i saw, those photos are from 2013, Russian AN-2 crash. That wheel looks like is a rear wheel of AN-2.

On 11/1/2020 at 2:50 PM, Beer said:

Davit Bek is in Armenia proper, just across the border from Qubadli which is most likely under control of Azeris. 

 

In the area Azeris using a lot of white phosporus against units in the forests. 

 

 

https://www.facebook.com/murakhovskiy

   Viktor Murakhovskiy about claims of WP usage:

Quote

   About the so-called "phosphorus shells"
   With every exacerbation of military conflicts in different parts of the world, journalists, with surprising consistency, once again "unearth a stewardess" named Phosphorus. The current conflict in NKR is no exception.
   Contrary to common misconception, phosphorus (white or red) is not used in modern incendiary ammunition. For a utilitarian reason - its combustion temperature does not exceed 1000°C. For comparison, thermite mixtures (aluminum + iron oxide) have a combustion temperature of ~ 2500°C. In the USSR / Russia, metallized pyrogels of the OM family (OM-12, 125, 419 and others) with a burning temperature of up to 2500°C are used in incendiary ammunition.


   Phosphorus is not used in illumination ammunition, where aluminum and magnesium oxides, barium nitrate are in demand.

 

   Phosphorus is often used for smoke making when setting up masking smoke screens. Typical examples are the American 155-mm M110, M825 smoke shells. They are in service in more than 70 countries. The smoke elements are made of white phosphorus, made in the form of segments and placed in the corner guides of the base (in the case there are 3 to 5 bases with 70-140 smoke elements).


   in the USSR / Russia, phosphorus is not used in smoke ammunition, two types of smoke-forming compounds are used:
   anthracene + potassium chlorate + ammonium chloride;
   titanium-magnesium powder + aluminum powder + hexachloroethane + sulfur.

 

   It should also be emphasized that there are no special prohibitions on the use of white / red phosphorus in hostilities.


   The picture from NKR shows the action of a typical incendiary ammunition (most likely with pyrogel), there is no phosphorus in it.

 

Quote

Ilya Ryabtsev
to Victor Murakhovsky
, yet according to the quote, white phosphorus is used :)

   

Victor Murakhovsky
to Ilya Ryabtsev
   No. After the invention of napalms, termites and pyrogels, incendiary ammunition is not used anywhere. Well this is the technological and storage horror. They equip bombs underwater at the arsenals. Any microscopic contact with air is inflammation.

 

Ilya Ryabtsev
to Victor Murakhovsky
, and those burning elements, the fall of which we observe, are rather shellless pieces of the same pyrogel? They fall painfully slowly.

     
Victor Murakhovsky
to Ilya Ryabtsev
   Yes. There are also bonbs with termite balls. They fly beautifully, almost like fireworks stars, one might say - in formation. Not like the pyrogel bunches - a disorderly crowd.

 

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   Those 2 are interesting. First one is attack against cortege of SUVs on 31st Oct. During that day claims of assasination of president of NKR started to flow around, but NKR claimed that those are fake.

 

Quote

/.../the destroyed vehicle is the same type / model as the NKR President Arayik Vladimir Harutyunyan was in during his visit to Hadrut. SUV with a tire in the back of the car.
   But, again, this does not prove that Araik Vladimir Harutyunyan was in the car.

 

32154104

 

Quote

“My president. A person with whom I am honored to take a photo. The photo was taken an hour ago. As you can see, the mood is good, fighting. " -Photographer David Gakhramanian.

 

Spoiler

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   I suspect that Azeri/Turkish drones operator targeted wrong cars, but president could have been in that convoy during attack. They hit one car in convoy with guided bomb, then hit with cluster anti-infantry submunitions, but most of those subs hit field about 10-40 meters away from convoy. Then they decided to finish off evac cars with guided bombs or missiles.

 

 

   Second one - same day, Su-25 was used to strike targets near Khojavend, which is unusual. Almost all, if not 100% of all airstrikes so far where done using recon drones, loitering munitions and UCAVs. In this video it most likely was used to drop KAB (guided bomb) from safe distance, and recon drone with laser designator done rest of the job. Note how first attack was done - firt hit against clustered group of infantry, waited until another group of soldiers gather to help and Azeri hit again.

 

32154040

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I have noticed that too. Are Azeri Su-25 able to launch KAB-L bomb series? They got all of their ones by quite obscure ways and all of those were quite old used ones (one of those is even ex-Czechoslovak/ex-Georgian). Was there ever any news about their modernisation (not saying it could not have been done). 

 

In theory it could be also a cover action for Turkish F-16 strike (again not saying it was one). 

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   Red - Karabakh

505675

   Azerbaijan captured over 2050 sq. km of Karabakh officially, estimated as high as 2400, about 20-22% of territory of Artsakh/Karabakh. According to this map it can be as high as 35%. Not much time left before winter weather, with clouds, rains and cold air (that could drop below 0 degrees C in nights), according to forecast weather will get worse after next 5-7 days. Airforces/drone usage/effectiveness will drop because of clouds and rains.

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5 hours ago, Beer said:

Three Azeri SandCat MRAPs destroyed. Azeri border guard uniform often used by Syrian fighters is visible. Warning, grahic! 

 

 

I't yet to see a single one of militants from Syria in Armenian/NKR video. Based on what this information about uniform used is claimed? 

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A lot of footage from the Armenian side today including a body of one Azeri Lieutenant Colonel whose photos I won't post. 

 

Orlan-10 footage guiding mortars in a fight for some major road.

 

Two BMP-2 and one T-72 destroyed. 

 

Another SandCat

 

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