Cobras

7 hours ago, Beer said:

The point is that even transition even to very similar alternative chips is very time consuming and very costly. Using some Chinese chips instead of US ones is much easier said than done. First the Chinese must produce something similar. After that they must be villing to sell that. They also must have production capacities for that. And last but not least there is huge programming, testing, validation etc. work to be done before the product is ready for production with new chips. It's an endeavour for years... and in the very last Russian must have money to pay that.   

It's not about using chinese chips, but buying western ones from China itself. Russia can make trade agreements for the goods they need, you don't need hard cash when you got natural resources.

4 hours ago, Beer said:

 

This article contains information about the amount of western-made chips in four particular Russian weapon systems.

If you want to keep Russia away from all those electronics, you gotta sanction China too, and there is no way of that happening.

12 hours ago, Alzoc said:

Regardless on the way this war will end, it seem that reconstituting Russian forces will be a tall order (especially without access to modern semi-conductors and other parts).

Russia doesnt rely on foreign semi-conductors for their military, they used to have France supply their T-90s with the Catherine thermal imagers, but from 2015 onwards its all domestically produced (product of early Western sanctions against Russia). You dont need a 7nm GA100 level of silicon in a Kalibr missile, 65nm* is enough for any modern military need.

*28nm is from TSMC, but they have the tech for it, but not for mass production, yet.

On 5/16/2022 at 4:47 PM, Beer said:

Ukraine released alleged leaked documents from Russian 1st guards tank army concerning unit losses as of 15th March. The documents seems to be legit. 

https://gur.gov.ua/content/do-seredyny-bereznia-zdalysia-v-polon-blyzko-sta-rosiiskykh-tankistiv.html

 

It shows rather low number of casualties in comparison with absolutely stunning vehicle losses. I remember the 1st GTA lost huge number of vehicles in its initial push just being stuck in mud or running out of fuel which is confirmed by the document. 

 

Anyway the total number of casualties after 3 weeks of fighting was 61 KIA, 209 WIA, 44 MIA, 96 POW. Altogether 410. 

 

The number of lost tanks per unit during the same period. Overal it's 125 tanks. 

1st tank regiment, 2nd motorrifle division: 45 T-72B3 obr.2016 (of 93!)

12th tank regiment, 4th guards tank division: 18 T-80U

13th tank regiment, 4th guards tank division: 47 T-80UE (of 83!)

423rd motorrifle regiment, 4th guards tank division: 6 T-80BV

27th motorized rifle brigade: 9 T-90A 

 

This status is from just days before another defeat in the battle of Trostianec which caused another large losses followed by retreat from the whole Sumy and Chernigiv regions. Also if we go by the number of T-80U/UE tanks from this time period showed on Oryx's blog we can see that the actual number of losses is even higher than listed by him.  

Thats why Ukraine is claiming 5x+ russian casualties, they think every russian vehicle lost = 100% crew dead. Having a 0,5 casualty per tank is pretty good by any standards, while every western mouthpiece says that the T-series tanks are death traps.

28 minutes ago, watch_your_fire said:

But it was a T-80U instead of a BVM I think.

My thoughts are that the explosion may have made the filler fly out

Yeah, it looks like a T-80U '86 that lost the lower 2 layers.

1 hour ago, watch_your_fire said:

Nvm figured it out. Someone was passing that image around twitter but I think it's just a bad angle

Still weird cuz it looks like a 3 layer rather than 5 layer glacis

It can be 3 layer cuz the T-80BVMs are upgraded T-80B\BVs

6 hours ago, LoooSeR said:

Last time MoD published info about casualties on 25.03. 1350 killed, 3800 wounded. 

 

Previously they did same on 2.03, 498 killed and 1597 wounded.

Oh I thought they update it more regularly, thanks anyway. So, they should give an updated casualty report in 2 days or so, if they keep the same interval.

Decent article about the recent situation: https://southfront.org/strike-on-moskva-missile-cruiser-is-only-precursor-to-change-in-military-situation-in-region/

Just now, LoooSeR said:

MoD periodically gives casualties numbers, but not frequently.

When was the last one and what were the casualties numbers? If you don't mind ofc, cuz it's kinda hard for me to find it since I don't know any russian.

3 hours ago, Alzoc said:

Russian MoD report that the ship ended up sinking once towed back to port because of previous damages and rough sea.

 

https://t.me/rian_ru/158794

Why are they reporting on this but stopped reporting on their combat casualties?

And btw, maybe the ship hit a naval mine?

Shit happens no matter what, so its better to evacuate and lose only the ship than both ship and crew, the ship surviving it's the best scenario the russian navy could have hoped for. In my opinion, losing a docked landing ship full of ammo (the one in Berdyansk) it's worse than a damaged cruiser.

Since lots of fuel storage and refineries got hit all over the country, is the ukrainian armed forces able to move troops to reinforce other regions? That push towards Kiev might have actually worked (it could have been executed better ofc), what do you guys think?

6 minutes ago, LoooSeR said:

I don't understand what protests in favor of troops will do, i guess this is the case with most of people.

No politician likes civil unrest, and going for protesters that are in favor of their own troops does not look good for them. And I think that could have an impact on their decision making or atleast give them a headache or something. It doesnt inspire much confidence for volunteers when you don't have enough deployed troops for such a large frontline and could get killed or worse if captured.

7 minutes ago, LoooSeR said:

UAF and Co executing POWs isn't exactly ground breaking new thing. They had several events of people cutting fingers from rebels back in 2014-15 and uploading photos and videos of that.

In theory they were killing their own citizens, since they are ukrainian separatists, but now they are killing soldiers of the RuAF, pretty sure the russian population can see the difference.

4 minutes ago, LoooSeR said:

Anger, obviously. 

 

They want army to win this war. Quite a number of people online experessed in some way that they don't trust politicians to make this happen, mainly because of negotiations.

No protests in favor of their own troops? either for the RuAF to go all-in or to pull out?

@LoooSeR Whats the russian reaction on the torture and killing of russian POWs by the ukrainian armed forces? are people gonna do something about it? will they still trust the government even if it doesnt do anything about it?

3 hours ago, Alzoc said:

At least several Russian units were/are apparently communicating on unencrypted frequencies

 

https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/europe/100000008266864/russia-army-radio-makariv.html

 

Which may be an explanation as to why so many Russian generals have been killed (5 as of now).

Snake Island 2: Electric Boogaloo?

6 hours ago, LoooSeR said:

That APS was not working at the time, most of subsystems are not even mounted on a tank.

 

Same tank during Zapad-2021

Was used as a testbed/showcase for Drozd APS, later was transefered to Kantemirovskaya with some of guts of APS taken out and rest of mounted equipment left on a tank.

The APS launchers on this photo are kinda smaller than the OG Drozd I know. Edit: nevermind they are not mounted, weird mount for the launch tubes thou.

Btw how do you know they were not mounted at the time? and most kills on russian tanks in Ukraine are from side shots, a working Drozd would have not saved them.

1 hour ago, watch_your_fire said:

 

Wow a thing that has a gen 1 hardkill APS with only 60-120d frontal turret arc protection got destroyed...

Like when they used Su-34s to drop FAB-100/250s, bruh...

btw I meant on the video, you can see a BMP-2? and a T-64? getting rekt and then a T-72? rushing the other T-64? no idea where or what was happening on that video, but it looks like a tank combat, no ATGMs where used as I can see. And yeah I didnt think this war would happen either, maybe there really were US Biolabs in Ukraine, either way Russia made alot of blunders in the beginning and is still  osing a relative high number of personel and equipament (considering its 3 crew dead per armored vehicle/tank).

Anyone got intel on wtf is going on here? (edit: on the video I mean)

Oh wow reddit...

18 hours ago, Jägerlein said:

Russia sources yet unmobilized logistic capacities:
Volkssturm Edition

 

Yeah they should use T-14s and BMPTs to remove rubble, bring food and medical aid...

The 3BM26 should be enough against T-64BVs and T-80BVs, but abandoning a T-80BVM still is pretty stupid...

wtf is Russia doing? why are they abandoning so many military vehicles? and losing many more? they failed big time on information gathering and military intelligence on this campaign...