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Beer

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Posts posted by Beer

  1. More satellite pics of the damage to the Al Asad base. Two missiles hit a taxiway and a runway, those likely missed. The rest is direct hits into many hangars/buildings. It's very probable that some aircraft were destroyed or damaged either by direct hits or by shrapnels. 

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/31769/satellite-images-show-the-aftermath-of-irans-missile-strikes-on-al-assad-air-base-in-iraq

     

    Complete image of the base (very high resolution): https://s5.gifyu.com/images/highres.jpg

     

    Allegedly the missiles used in the strike were mobile Zulfaghar ones. That's an improved Fatteh-110, i.e. something even the Lebanese Hezbollah likely posses. 

  2. 17 hours ago, GMerlon said:

     

    I wasn't able to find anything that directly said that the US government acknowledged sending a signed copy of the letter. Do you have a source for that? The Iraqi prime minister states that he did receive one though, but I haven't seen any images of it online anywhere. This isn't too necessarily say that it didn't necessarily happen, but the original revealers of the letter and the Iraqi PM both have political motive for wanting such a thing exposed.

     

    The source was the twitter post. The guy saying that works for Washington Post. 

  3. It looks like it was more or less a demonstration strike (i was wrong saying no missiles will fly) but the satelite images of some impacts show it was actually a precise one.

     

    Iraq says they were notified beforehand and it's likely Iraq warned US, i.e. it could have happened the same way as Trump's strike on Syria months a go, i.e. a demonstration of capability and determination with minimal actual damage. Let's see if it ends with that. 

     

    What is interesting is US saying they have no AA assets in Iraq. 

     

  4. Actually it's a lot more countries involved. UAE, Egypt and Russia are directly and visibly involved on LNA side while Turkey on GNA side but many other countries are involved indirectly. France or Greece do support LNA as well. USA or Italy at least seem to have no problem with Haftar. Qatar supports GNA. Algeria, Tunisia or Marocco probably too but they don't want to be involved directly. Recently Tunisia even refused to support the Turkish intervention.   

     

    On the other hand there is very little left of GNA territory so it's a question if it's worth of own thread. Maybe... 

     

    PS LNA captured today also one Khrizantema and one T-55 in Abu Grian. LNA also claimed to shot down one Bayraktar T2 but there is no footage anywhere for confirmation. 

     

  5. Al Shabaab successfully attacked a Kenyan airfield causing a lot of damage to the US AFRICOM including several casualties and an expensive hardware. No words on kenyan casualties. 

     

    1 US service member killed, 2 wounded

    2 US DoD contractors killed

    1 DASH-8 special purpose aircraft destroyed

    1 King Air special purpose aircraft (?) destroyed

    Several (?) hellicopters destroyed (at least one shall be Bell 412)

    2 M-ATV likely also destroyed

     

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/31721/3-americans-dead-6-aircraft-destroyed-or-damaged-including-a-rare-spy-plane-in-kenya-attack

  6. Yesterday Iraqi parlament voted on a bill to remove all foreign troops from Iraq and close the airspace. Trump already started to treaten Iraq with sanctions over that. Will US try to hold the small and thinly spread forces in Iraq and Syria? I don't think it's actually feasible if Shiites start attacking them en masse unless US brings let's say 100 thousand more troops in Iraq, i.e. occupy it again. On the other hand if US pulls the troops out of Iraq Soleimani ultimately achieved his main goal in his death, so... 

     

    Meanwhile Qatari foreign minister was in Tehran. 

     

    Also meanwhile Iraqi PM Abdul-Mahdi said that Soleimani came to Baghdad carrying a letter from Iran to Saudi Arabia which was an answer to Saudi letter delivered previously through Iraq working as a mediator in the process of Saudi-Iranian deescalation. 

     

    What seems to be sure (at least I think so) is that no ballistic missiles will start falling on Al Udeid, King Fahd, Muwaffaq or Ahmad al Jaber airbases. Soleimani would never act like that hence why I expect IRGC will continue his strategy to outmaneuvre US and Saudi with proxies. 

     

    Now we have to wait for the actual funeral of Soleimani to be over. For sure Iran won't do anything before it. 

     

     

     

     

  7. Iraqi parlament to vote tomorrow about explulsion of US and NATO troops from Iraq. 

     

    IRGC brig. general Ismael Qa'ani appointed new commander of Quds force (former Soleimani's deputy). 

     

    There are some reports about JSOC capturing another IRGC-linked persons around Baghdad. 

     

    Meanwhile millions of Iranians in the streets marching in support of IRGC. The killing of Soleimani was the worst thing which could happen to the ongoing anti-government protests in Iran. I am afraid it will in fact strenghten the Khamenei's rule just like basically everything the US did in the Middle East in past two decades. 

     

    Interesting times ahead... 

     

  8. IRGC Quds force commander Qasem Soleimani was killed in US airstrike near Bagdad airport together with Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, deputy leader of Iraqi PMU and chief of Kata'ib Hezbollah. Some reports say that Naim Qassem, deputy commander of Lebanese Hezbollah was also killed in the strike.  

     

    Here both together on archive photo

    800px-Abu_Mahdi_al-Muhandes_&_Qasem_Sole

     

    This is an act of war for Iran for sure. The question is how far will it escalate. One of the first reactions is claimed reactivation of Mahdi army by Muqtada al Sadr. 

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