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Donward

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Posts posted by Donward

  8. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    And talking about Five Turdy Ate's propensity to weigh polls differently based on jack-shit and their FEELZ, get a load of this.

     

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/governors-update-democrats-suddenly-have-a-real-chance-in-alaska/

     

    As for the SEA poll: You should generally be skeptical of partisan polls, but I’d take this one at least somewhat seriously. The poll, which found Gillum ahead by 6 percentage points, showed Republican Rick Scott leading Sen. Bill Nelson in Florida’s Senate race. So SEA is not just churning out numbers favorable to Democratic candidates. FiveThirtyEight rates SEA as a fairly decent pollster, with a B- rating. And Gillum’s margin in the SEA poll is generally in line with what other firms have found. In other words, it’s not a crazy result.

     

    Oh, well. That makes sense. A partisan polling firm should get a B- and... then WHY in God's cock to FiveTurdyAte weigh Rasmussen which actually got the 2016 election right, a C+???

     

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=midterms-header

     

    Because it's just making shit up as it goes along. 

  9. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    And meanwhile, the crowd-size of political rallies has ZERO statistical interest to pollsters cuz "Elections aren't won by campaign rallies", dontcha know?

     

    https://www.breitbart.com/midterm-election/2018/10/22/texans-camp-out-24-hours-before-trump-cruz-rally-houston/

     

    President Donald Trump’s supporters began lining up and camping out 24 hours before Monday’s rally in Houston, Texas, which has received at least 100,000 signups for the 18,000-person venue.

     

    And this is in HOUSTON, not exactly the reddest part of the Lonestar State. 

  10. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    I like how Five Turdy Ate weighs polls, artificially inflating or deflating their value, based on their FEELZ or when a result doesn't fit their pre-conceived notion.

     

    I also like how they'll change their polling based on irrelevant information, such as using fund-raising totals to gin up their numbers or generic nation-wide polls to predict local races.

     

    I also like how Silver will factor in races that haven't even had polling done, making a wild-assed guess, and then filtering that info into a generic polls, which is then used to massage numbers in races that have had polling to make a "prediction".

  11. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    Pero mi ola azul!!!

     

    https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2018/10/19/17996718/latino-voters-midterms

     

    In an October 16 poll, the groups found that 55 percent of Latino voters haven’t experienced any form of election outreach from Democrats or Republicans. Voters indicated that they hadn’t yet been contacted by a political party, campaign, or community organization about voting across multiple platforms including phone, mail, and email.

    At the same time in the 2016 election, almost the exact same proportion of Latino voters also said that they hadn’t received any outreach. An October 17, 2016, poll found that 56 percent of Latino voters had not heard from either political party as the election was approaching.

  17. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    Apologies for Breitbart and all but...

     

    https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/10/17/hree-percent-of-elizabeth-warrens-dna-from-ancestor-who-rounded-up-cherokees-for-trail-of-tears/

     

    Breitbart News first reported in 2012 that Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s (D-MA) great-great-great grandfather Jonathan Crawford was a member of the Tennessee Militia that rounded up Cherokees living there at the time for the Trail of Tears journey to Oklahoma in the 1830s.

     

     

  18. Bears can be total assholes. And other bear related news

    in Biosciences

    Posted

    BAAAEEEYYYEEERRR!!! BROOOOOO...mmm!!!

     

    http://www.kbbi.org/post/seldovia-woman-fends-bear-inside-her-home-broom

     

    A Seldovia woman fought off a black bear inside of her home with nothing more than a broom early Monday morning.

     

    ...

     

    “He was growling, spitting, clicking his teeth at me. I shoved him back up onto the porch. He jumped back up onto that window. He’s so fat, he could not fit through the window,” Mahan explained. “I hauled off and gave that broom everything I had, and I shoved him out that two-story window, he hit my son’s truck and dented the door – then making all sorts of noises and took off running.”

     

    ...

     

    “It had to be over 200 pounds. He was looking at me. I run in bedroom to grab my gun. I get my gun. I don’t realize that my ammo is old,” Mahan recalled over the phone Tuesday. “As I’m walking out my bedroom door in a hurry, he’s already in the living room standing between my couch and my rifle cabinet. He starts peeling his lips back and growling at me. I pull my gun to shoot on him and it dry fires.”

    Mahan said after her pistol failed to fire a second time, she grabbed a metal broom nearby and began hitting the bear, pushing it back towards the entryway.

  20. Celebrities that are now dead

    in Fiction & Entertainment

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Jeeps_Guns_Tanks said:

     

     

    Was he the one going around and finding all the sunken planes and ships?

     

    Yes. And he also had a sizable warplane and tank collection in Everett. In addition to the everything else mentioned.

     

    Also, he donated millions of dollars to take away my 2nd Amendment rights via an anti-gun initiative on the ballot this November. 

  23. Post Election Thread: Democracy Dies In Darkness And You Can Help

    in Open Discussion

    Posted

    Portland Police have issued a mealy-mouthed explanation as to their lack of police response stopping rioters from illegally blocking city traffic.

     

    https://www.portlandoregon.gov/police/news/read.cfm?id=189415&ec=1&ch=twitter

     

    "Prior to the event two police liaisons unsuccessfully attempted to communicate with event planners to establish a route for the march. This would have helped facilitate a safe route for demonstrators, while also ensuring road users had alternative routes. 

    On the day of, the Police Bureau actively monitored the march with the objectives to try to provide a safe environment for all and facilitate a peaceful event so that those involved were able to express their constitutional rights to free speech. The march ultimately involved a small part of downtown; the Bureau was aware of traffic disruptions and two incidents where drivers and protesters exchanged words. Police have been made aware of one vehicle that sustained damage, but there was no other reported property damage or damage to infrastructure and no one was injured. Command was closely monitoring these situations and had to make the careful decision to balance the need to clear the street to allow for the flow of traffic versus the risk of officers having to potentially use force and enflame an already tenuous situation. 

     

     

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